Thursday, December 22, 2011

Zillow: Denver set to lose 5.5 billion in value during 2011

For what it's worth, here are Zillow's predictions for home valuations during 2011. Nationwide, home values are estimated to fall 681 billion in 2011, or 5.1 percent, year over year. In the Denver MSA, home values are predicted to fall 5.5 billion, or 2.9 percent, year over year.

Not surprisingly, the decline in Denver is expected to be smaller than the decline nationwide.

The largest decline in home values was found in Atlanta, GA where they dropped 14.7 percent, year over year. In Tampa, Chicago and Seattle, values dropped 10.7 percent, 10.4 and 9.4 percent, respectively.

According to today's press release from Zillow:

U.S. Homes Set to Lose Nearly $700 Billion in Value During 2011; Total Loss Smaller Than Prior Four Years

Nine Metros See 2011 Gains in Home Value, According to Zillow Real Estate Market Reports

U.S. homes are expected to lose more than $681 billion(i) in value during 2011, which is 35 percent less than the $1.1 trillion lost in 2010, according to analysis of recent Zillow Real Estate Market Reports.

The bulk of the total value lost during 2011 was in the first half of the year. From January to June, the U.S. housing market lost $454 billion. From July to December, Zillow projects residential home value losses will total a significantly lower $227 billion.

Regionally, only nine out of 128 markets showed gains in home values during 2011, with the New Orleans metropolitan statistical area (MSA) showing the largest gain of $3.5 billion. The Pittsburgh MSA was second on the list, with a gain of $2.7 billion.

"While homeowners suffered through another year of steep losses, the good news is that homes are losing value at a substantially slower pace as the market works its way towards the bottom," said Zillow Chief Economist Stan Humphries. "Compared to last year when we saw sharp declines following the expiration of the homebuyer tax credits, this year we saw some organic improvement in home values, in terms of a slowed depreciation rate which resulted in a smaller total value loss for the year."