Thursday, November 7, 2013

Delinquency Survey: Only six states have lower rates of serious mortgage delinquency

Serious mortgage delinquencies in Colorado were down for the eighth quarter in a row during the third quarter of 2013, and new 30-day delinquencies fell to the lowest point recorded during any third quarter since 2006.

30-day delinquencies during the third quarter of 2013 were down from the second quarter of the year, dropping to 2.21 percent. 2.21 percent is the lowest rate for new 30-day delinquencies since the first quarter of this year when the rate was 2.18 percent. During the third quarter of 2012, the 30-day delinquency rate was 2.44 percent.

The first graph shows 30-day delinquencies by quarter in Colorado since 2006:

The number of loans that were 90 days delinquent of more were down again in Colorado during the third quarter, falling to 1.47 percent of all loans surveyed. The 90-day delinquency rate during the third quarter of 2012 was 1.76 percent, and it was 1.49 percent during the second quarter of 2013. The second graph shows the percentage of mortgage loans that were at least 90 days delinquent in recent years. The 90-day delinquency rate has been falling consistently in Colorado since the fourth quarter of 2009.

The foreclosure inventory also fell during the third quarter of 2013 and has fallen for the past twelve quarters in a row. Colorado's foreclosure inventory dropped to 1.08 percent during the third quarter of 2013, falling from 2012's third quarter rate of 1.66 percent. The inventory was also down from 2013's second-quarter rate of 1.2 percent. The third graph shows the foreclosure inventory in Colorado and the US:

National Comparisons:

As can be seen in the second and third graphs, Colorado's foreclosure inventory and 90-day delinquency rates are well below the national rates. The U.S. 90-day delinquency rate during the third quarter of 2013 was 2.57 percent.

The U.S. foreclosure inventory rate was 3.08 percent during the third quarter of 2013.

Using the 90-day delinquency rate to compare Colorado to all other states, we find that Colorado had the seventh-lowest delinquency rate in the nation during the third quarter of 2013. The only states with lower 90-day delinquency rates were Iowa, North Dakota, South Dakota, Montana, Wyoming and Alaska. During the second quarter, Colorado had the ninth-best rate of serious delinquency. The lowest 90-day delinquency rate in the nation was found in North Dakota where it was 0.54 percent, and the highest rate was found in New Jersey where it was 3.85 percent.

Delinquencies are measured by the MBA via surveys sent to major loans servicers. The MBA estimates it covers 88 percent of all first-lien residential mortgage loans outstanding in the US with the survey.